GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/8/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Moscow are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Rostov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Moscow hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Premier League, while CSKA Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moscow

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA MoscowDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC RostovWWLWD

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CSKA MoscowFC Rostov
33.3Attack55.6
77.8Defence55.6
55.6Form44.4
59.1Power53.1
1.31xG1.09
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