GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/15/2026, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Moscow are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fakel Voronezh are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Moscow hold a 32.4-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Premier League, while CSKA Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moscow

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

13.0%

CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA MoscowDDDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FakelDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA MoscowFakel
33.3Attack50.0
77.8Defence16.7
55.6Form0.0
59.1Power26.7
1.64xG0.97
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