GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/21/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA 1948 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

CSKA 1948 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pirin Blagoevgrad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA 1948 hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (79.3 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.8% in the First League, while CSKA 1948 holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA 1948

Probability

68.8%

Model confidence

68.8%

CSKA 1948 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA 1948WWWLL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Pirin BlagoevgradLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CSKA 1948Pirin Blagoevgrad
86.7Attack24.8
60.0Defence54.3
86.7Form30.5
79.3Power39.3
1.98xG0.52
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