Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA 1948 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CSKA 1948 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Maribor are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA 1948 hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while CSKA 1948 holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSKA 1948
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
CSKA 1948 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00