CSKA 1948vs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA 1948 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA 1948 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Original prediction
CSKA 1948
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 61.2% | 62.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 24.0% | 22.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 6.25 | 14.8% | 15.5% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
CSKA 1948
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
CSKA 1948 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40