CSKA 1948vs
Dunav Ruse
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA 1948 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: CSKA 1948 2-0 Dunav Ruse, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA 1948 2-1 Dunav Ruse
Original prediction
CSKA 1948
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 68.2% | 73.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 20.0% | 16.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 7.76 | 11.9% | 9.7% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
CSKA 1948 2–0 Dunav Ruse
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
CSKA 1948
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
CSKA 1948 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CSKA 1948LWLWL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dunav RuseLDLWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA 1948Dunav Ruse
62.5Attack29.2
66.7Defence37.5
66.7Form16.7
66.2Power31.3
2.50xG0.57