Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA 1948 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
CSKA 1948 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Drita are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA 1948 hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while CSKA 1948 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSKA 1948
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
CSKA 1948 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40