CSKA 1948vs
CSKA Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA Sofia
Original prediction
CSKA Sofia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 24.5% | 27.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.4% | 27.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 48.1% | 44.4% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00