CSKA 1948vs
Botev Plovdiv
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA 1948 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA 1948 4-0 Botev Plovdiv
Original prediction
CSKA 1948
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.5% | 46.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.5% | 26.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 26.0% | 27.0% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
CSKA 1948
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
CSKA 1948 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 0 · avg 2.40/0.00