Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Csepel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Csepel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while BKV Előre are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Csepel hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 6.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the NB III - Southeast, while Csepel holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Csepel
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
11.3%
Csepel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60