Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
CSE are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while ASA are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ASA hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Serie D, while ASA holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ASA
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
ASA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20