GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB II · 7/30/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Budapest Honved · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Csakvar are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Budapest Honved are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Budapest Honved hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the NB II, while Budapest Honved holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Budapest Honved

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Budapest Honved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CsakvarWLW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Budapest HonvedWLWLD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CsakvarBudapest Honved
33.3Attack38.2
16.7Defence64.7
0.0Form43.1
21.5Power50.1
0.90xG1.20
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