CSAvs
Nacional AM
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 9/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CSA 0-0 Nacional AM, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
CSA 0-0 Nacional AM
Original prediction
CSA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.3% | 51.3% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 28.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.18 | 14.6% | 20.0% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
CSA 0–0 Nacional AM
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
CSA
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
CSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CSALLLWD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nacional AMWLLDD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CSANacional AM
61.4Attack40.4
70.2Defence71.9
56.1Form56.1
61.1Power58.2
1.11xG0.66