CSAvs
Juazeirense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
CSA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Juazeirense are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CSA hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.2% in the Serie D, while CSA holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSA
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
21.2%
CSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80