Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CSA are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Confiança have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CSA hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00