GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSA Steaua Bucureşti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 0-0 Metaloglobus

Original prediction

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9546.5%36.5%-10.0 pts
Draw3.4626.2%27.0%0.9 pts
Away3.3127.3%36.5%9.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–18%

Predicted outcome

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSA Steaua BucureştiDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MetaloglobusLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CSA Steaua BucureştiMetaloglobus
37.0Attack40.7
33.3Defence44.4
22.2Form40.7
33.9Power44.4
1.29xG1.52
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