CSA Steaua Bucureştivs
Gloria Bistriţa
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gloria Bistriţa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2-1 Gloria Bistriţa
Original prediction
Gloria Bistriţa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.7% | 26.7% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.3% | 25.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.0% | 48.0% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Gloria Bistriţa
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Gloria Bistriţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40