CSA Steaua Bucureştivs
Cetatea Suceava
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cetatea Suceava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2-2 Cetatea Suceava
Original prediction
Cetatea Suceava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.5% | 34.6% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.3% | 26.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 22.1% | 38.6% | 16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Cetatea Suceava
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Cetatea Suceava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00