GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/20/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Santa AnaWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
CS UruguaySanta Ana
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power80.3
1.24xG1.48
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