GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/28/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalupe FCLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayGuadalupe FC
33.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence50.0
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power64.8
1.34xG1.58
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