GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/30/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayEscorpiones Belén
33.3Attack76.7
50.0Defence42.5
16.7Form58.3
36.5Power58.9
1.59xG2.26
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