GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/27/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Escorpiones Belén are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Escorpiones BelénWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
CS UruguayEscorpiones Belén
33.3Attack76.7
50.0Defence42.5
16.7Form58.3
36.5Power58.9
1.59xG2.26
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