GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/2/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cariari Pococi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Cariari Pococi holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cariari Pococi

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cariari PocociLDDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayCariari Pococi
33.3Attack16.7
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power64.8
1.22xG1.35
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