GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/9/2025, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Uruguay · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Aserri FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CS Uruguay hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while CS Uruguay holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Uruguay

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

CS Uruguay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayLDWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aserri FCLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayAserri FC
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power26.7
1.42xG1.19
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