GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/8/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Uruguay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Antioquia are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Antioquia hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while CS Uruguay holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Uruguay

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

CS Uruguay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AntioquiaLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayAntioquia
33.3Attack55.2
50.0Defence36.5
16.7Form40.6
36.5Power44.1
1.83xG1.55
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