GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 12/2/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ADR JicaralWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayADR Jicaral
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power80.3
1.24xG1.48
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