GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/28/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ADR Jicaral are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and ADR Jicaral hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while ADR Jicaral holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ADR Jicaral

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayWDDDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ADR JicaralLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayADR Jicaral
33.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power80.3
1.24xG1.48
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