GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/14/2024, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD SarchíDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayAD Sarchí
33.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power80.3
1.26xG1.58
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