GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Uruguay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CS Uruguay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while CS Uruguay holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Uruguay

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

12.8%

CS Uruguay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayDLLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaDDLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CS UruguayAD Carmelita
33.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power45.3
1.48xG1.44
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