GGOALVIO

CS Uruguay logoCS UruguayvsAD Carmelita logoAD Carmelita

COMPLETED

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/7/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Uruguay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Uruguay are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while CS Uruguay holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Uruguay

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

CS Uruguay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS UruguayLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS UruguayAD Carmelita
33.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power45.3
1.48xG1.44
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