GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CS Sfaxien are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while ES Zarzis are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ES Zarzis hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

34.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS SfaxienWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ES ZarzisWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CS SfaxienES Zarzis
27.3Attack41.1
86.4Defence66.7
48.5Form57.8
55.3Power57.5
0.59xG0.50
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