CS Sfaxienvs
ES Zarzis
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: CS Sfaxien 0-0 ES Zarzis, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Sfaxien 2-1 ES Zarzis
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.1% | 37.9% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.69 | 15.9% | 30.5% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
CS Sfaxien 0–0 ES Zarzis
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.6%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CS SfaxienDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ES ZarzisWWWWL
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CS SfaxienES Zarzis
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
0.84xG0.92