GGOALVIO

Tunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Sfaxien · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: CS Sfaxien 0-0 CA Bizertin, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

CS Sfaxien 2-0 CA Bizertin

Original prediction

CS Sfaxien

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5557.9%41.0%-16.8 pts
Draw3.2227.9%30.7%2.8 pts
Away6.2814.3%28.3%14.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.9 pts

Projected Score

CS Sfaxien 0–0 CA Bizertin

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

CS Sfaxien

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

CS Sfaxien has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS SfaxienDWDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CA BizertinDWWLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
CS SfaxienCA Bizertin
44.4Attack33.3
66.7Defence88.9
55.6Form77.8
59.1Power70.7
0.90xG0.83
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