CS Sfaxienvs
AFAD
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Sfaxien · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Sfaxien 1-0 AFAD
Original prediction
CS Sfaxien
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.7% | 47.3% | -21.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.1% | 27.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 9.79 | 9.2% | 25.1% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
CS Sfaxien
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
CS Sfaxien has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40