CS Heredianovs
CS Cartagines
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Cartagines · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Herediano 3-1 CS Cartagines
Original prediction
CS Cartagines
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.4% | 23.9% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 24.4% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.0% | 51.6% | 26.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
26.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
CS Cartagines
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00