CS Hammam-Lifvs
ES Tunis
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ES Tunis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Hammam-Lif 0-1 ES Tunis
Original prediction
ES Tunis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.54 | 11.9% | 27.9% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 28.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 63.3% | 43.6% | -19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
ES Tunis
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
ES Tunis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CS Hammam-LifLLL
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
ES TunisWLWWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CS Hammam-LifES Tunis
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power58.8
1.01xG1.12