GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 9/22/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MC Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CS Constantine are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while MC Alger are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MC Alger hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Ligue 1, while MC Alger holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MC Alger

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

MC Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS ConstantineLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
MC AlgerWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
CS ConstantineMC Alger
51.1Attack61.1
66.7Defence77.8
58.9Form72.2
60.4Power70.7
0.75xG1.15
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