GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Constantine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CS Constantine 2-4 JS El Biar

Original prediction

CS Constantine

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6056.3%49.1%-7.3 pts
Draw3.2727.6%25.5%-2.1 pts
Away5.6316.0%25.4%9.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

CS Constantine

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

CS Constantine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS ConstantineLWLWD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JS El BiarLDWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CS ConstantineJS El Biar
60.0Attack53.3
46.7Defence40.0
46.7Form26.7
49.3Power39.5
1.75xG1.22
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