GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Constantine · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CS Constantine 3-0 ASO Chlef

Original prediction

CS Constantine

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5358.9%43.1%-15.8 pts
Draw3.3826.6%28.8%2.2 pts
Away6.2014.5%28.1%13.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

CS Constantine

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

CS Constantine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS ConstantineDLDLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ASO ChlefDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CS ConstantineASO Chlef
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.22xG1.04
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