CS Cartaginesvs
Puntarenas FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Cartagines · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Cartagines 3-1 Puntarenas FC
Original prediction
CS Cartagines
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.1% | 61.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.2% | 15.9% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
CS Cartagines
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20