CS Cartaginesvs
LD Alajuelense
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Cartagines · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Cartagines 3-1 LD Alajuelense
Original prediction
CS Cartagines
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.8% | 47.8% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 26.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.2% | 25.7% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
CS Cartagines
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40