GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 9/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Cartagines · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CS Cartagines 3-2 Deportivo Saprissa

Original prediction

CS Cartagines

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 12:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1042.7%44.4%1.7 pts
Draw2.8431.6%26.9%-4.7 pts
Away3.5025.7%28.7%3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

CS Cartagines

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS CartaginesWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo SaprissaLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CS CartaginesDeportivo Saprissa
66.7Attack66.7
73.3Defence60.0
60.0Form66.7
65.8Power65.7
1.65xG1.21
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