CS Cartaginesvs
Deportivo Saprissa
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Cartagines 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.4% | 30.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.7% | 23.7% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.9% | 45.8% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60