CS Cartaginesvs
CS Herediano
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CS Cartagines · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CS Cartagines 1-0 CS Herediano
Original prediction
CS Cartagines
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.4% | 57.4% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 23.1% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.5% | 19.5% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
CS Cartagines
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
CS Cartagines has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60