GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 10/22/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CS Cartagines 1-0 CD Olimpia

Original prediction

CD Olimpia

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4337.2%34.3%-2.9 pts
Draw2.9530.6%26.7%-4.0 pts
Away2.8232.1%39.0%6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

CD Olimpia

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS CartaginesWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CD OlimpiaWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
CS CartaginesCD Olimpia
72.2Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
66.7Form100.0
68.5Power90.0
1.36xG1.59
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