GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Afumati · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CS Afumati 4-0 Ştefăneşti

Original prediction

CS Afumati

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3368.2%65.6%-2.6 pts
Draw4.7119.3%20.2%1.0 pts
Away7.2212.6%14.2%1.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

CS Afumati

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

CS Afumati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS AfumatiLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ŞtefăneştiLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CS AfumatiŞtefăneşti
50.0Attack25.0
50.0Defence37.5
58.3Form25.0
55.2Power32.0
2.02xG0.76
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