GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Afumati · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

CS Afumati 1-3 CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Original prediction

CS Afumati

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6034.8%61.5%26.7 pts
Draw3.4126.5%19.8%-6.8 pts
Away2.3438.7%18.7%-20.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

26.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–012%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.1–110%

Predicted outcome

CS Afumati

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

CS Afumati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS AfumatiLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CSA Steaua BucureştiDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CS AfumatiCSA Steaua Bucureşti
53.3Attack33.3
53.3Defence40.0
56.7Form23.3
55.4Power35.2
2.19xG0.80
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