Liga IILiga II
Saturday, 1 August 202609:00Updated today
CS Afumati

CS Afumati

Home
vs
09:00
CS Dinamo București

CS Dinamo București

Away
D
Stadionul Comunal Afumati
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
CS Afumati(36%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
CS Afumati
36%
Draw
30%
CS Dinamo București
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.40 xG for CS Afumati and 1.30 xG for CS Dinamo București. CS Dinamo București's projected xG of 1.30 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (CS Dinamo București)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (CS Dinamo București)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CS Dinamo BucureștiCS Dinamo București
D

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
CS Afumati36%
Draw30%
CS Dinamo București34%

CS Afumati leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

CS Afumati Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

CS Afumati host CS Dinamo București in Liga II. CS Afumati have recorded DLLWLW in recent matches while CS Dinamo București arrive with a run of LWWLDL.

Key factors

: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency CS Afumati have averaged 1.8 goals per game in recent fixtures compared to CS Dinamo București's 0.9 — a gap in attacking output that the model captures in its xG projection. Consistent goal-scoring is one of the clearest indicators of a team's ability to convert chances.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency CS Afumati have averaged 1.76 goals per game recently while CS Dinamo București have managed 0.92. CS Afumati carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its CS Afumati win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk CS Dinamo București have won 2 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While CS Afumati carry the stronger underlying metrics, CS Dinamo București's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

CS Afumati hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for CS Afumati.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours CS Afumati, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If CS Dinamo București score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • CS Afumati have been conceding 1.81 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.09 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

CS Dinamo București

CS Dinamo București

D
vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win CS Afumati vs CS Dinamo București?

GoalVio's model predicts CS Afumati to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for CS Afumati vs CS Dinamo București?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in CS Afumati vs CS Dinamo București?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CS Afumati vs CS Dinamo București?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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