GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crystal Palace W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Crystal Palace W 0-1 West Ham W

Original prediction

Crystal Palace W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8831.7%40.2%8.4 pts
Draw3.4626.4%25.5%-0.9 pts
Away2.1841.9%34.4%-7.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–07%

Predicted outcome

Crystal Palace W

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Crystal Palace W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crystal Palace WDWDWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
West Ham WLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Crystal Palace WWest Ham W
33.3Attack26.7
26.7Defence33.3
40.0Form20.0
35.1Power30.3
1.64xG1.32
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