Crystal Palace Wvs
Tottenham Hotspur W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham Hotspur W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crystal Palace W 0-7 Tottenham Hotspur W
Original prediction
Tottenham Hotspur W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.08 | 17.9% | 31.8% | 13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.9% | 26.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 59.2% | 41.7% | -17.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Tottenham Hotspur W
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Tottenham Hotspur W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80