Crystal Palace Wvs
Everton W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Crystal Palace W 1-0 Everton W
Original prediction
Everton W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.59 | 25.6% | 23.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.7% | 23.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 48.8% | 53.7% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Everton W
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Everton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00